5. U.S. Steel will have 150,000 tons of steel to deliver in December 2022. The August 31,
2022 spot price of steel is $1524 per ton. On August 31, 2022, the company enters into a
forward contract with General Motors for 150,000 tons of steel for delivery on December 1,
2022 with a forward price of $1590 per ton. Suppose the steel spot price on December 1,
2022 turns out to be $1380 per ton. Answer questions about the following two scenarios.
(a) Assuming that physical delivery of the steel actually occurs on the forward contract, how
much revenue does U.S. Steel generate on the sale of steel to General Motors on December 1,
2022?
(b) Assume that U.S. Steel and General Motors instead agree to cash settlement of the
forward contract on December 1, 2022. The cash settlement amount is calculated as the
quantity of steel times the difference between the forward price and the spot price. Further
assume that U.S. Steel sells 150,000 tons of steel to another counterparty in the spot market at
the spot price on December 1, 2022. Calculate the cash settlement amount on the forward
contract, the revenue generated from the spot market transaction, and the total cash flow for
U.S. Steel on December 1, 2022.
6. On August 31, 2022, you would like to hedge a long physical oil position that you plan to
sell on November 23, 2022. Rather than directly hedge using May Crude Oil futures contracts
that have a delivery date close to November 23, 2022, you wish to use a rolling hedge to take
advantage of the market liquidity in the short-term Crude Oil futures contracts. On August
31, 2022, you short an October 2022 Crude Oil futures contract. You then roll into the
November 2022 futures contract on September 28, 2022 and then roll again into the
December 2022 futures contract on October 26, 2022. Your physical oil transaction takes
place at the spot price of $75.15 on November 23, 2022. Calculate your gain or loss in the
futures market and the ne
t payoff from selling oil after considering both the physical and
futures markets.
October 2022
November 2022
December 2022
Date
Futures Price
Futures Price
Futures Price
August 31, 2022
85.11
84.13
83.19
September 7, 2022
82.74
81.65
80.59
September 14, 2022
83.15
82.13
81.12
September 21, 2022
86.91
85.93
84.91
September 28, 2022
87.88
86.7
85.51
October 5, 2022
87.9
86.65
October 12, 2022
84.18
82.88
October 19, 2022
81.43
80.1
October 26, 2022
76.94
75.4
November 2, 2022
76.34
November 9, 2022
77.12
November 16, 2022
74.18
November 23, 2022
75.15