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Part 1
Why is it important to consider uncertainty when evaluating supply chain design decisions?
Currently, supply chain design has become a vital strategic activity. Business
globalization has caused an increased demand for both products and services. On the other hand,
technological advancements have made it easier for firms to source goods worldwide. As a
result, that has been a fragmentation of supply chains, with different parts of the system located
in different parts of the world (Tseng et al., 2018). Today, most companies operate in a highly
competitive and globalized environment. To succeed, they must carefully develop and manage
their supply chain networks. However, there has been a significant challenge that acts as a barrier
to effective supply chains. This challenge is well-known to be uncertainty. It can result from
many sources, such as supplier delivery times, production capacity, raw materials quality, and
customer demand.
Given the significant contribution of the supply chain toward the success of a business, it
is important to consider uncertainties when developing or evaluating supply chains. Managers or
decision-makers must consider the likelihood of uncertainties and variability of the supply chain
inputs and outputs of the intended supply chain design or operation. Understanding possible
disruptions and integrating flexibility into the supply chain can allow organizations to better
prepare for unexpected events (Tseng et al., 2018). Also, understanding uncertainties can assist in
optimizing costs and service levels. In addition, by being aware of factors leading to costs and
service variability, businesses can determine trade-offs that balance cost efficiency with
resilience and flexibility.